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Saturday, June 20, 2009

6. Compare the results, execute the trade


After examining the various scenarios presented by the charts, and determining on which of them are actionable, the trader will compare them in terms of credibility and profit potential (for example, how extreme are the indicator values, how much profit or loss will be generated in case a take- profit or stop-loss order is realized?) Once that is done, he will pick the trade that offers the highest returns with the lowest risk on the basis of the technical scenario that is the most contrarian.
What the above implies is that, when a trend follower trades, he will wait for the corrections, acting on a contrarian basis to the short term movement, while conforming to the main trend. When he desires to bet against the trend, he will await the most extreme valuations generated by the trend, and when the momentum is highest, he will make a contrarian bet at the first credible reversal.

A forex trading strategy is created by using many different types of price phenomena that are manifested on many different kinds of indicators. We will examine strategies later, but at this stage let us examine the signal types that are used to create them.

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